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Oscars: Deadline, Gold Derby & Indiewire Experts Try To Pick A Best Actress Winner With Just Five Months To Go

By Denise Petski, Pete Hammond


Gold Derby’s Tom O’Neil, Indiewire’s Anne Thompson and I get together for our latest PMC internecine smackdown, this time discussing the early line on who might be up for the Best Actress Oscar. Yes, we know it is only October, but we like to get a jump on things, so check out our discussion as we assess the chances of what is shaping up to be another extremely rich field of contenders.


Of course that means Lady Gaga in her feature leading debut in A Star Is Born;Glenn Close, going for nomination No. 7 without a win yet, for The Wife;Nicole Kidman, a possible double nominee for supporting in Boy Erased and lead for Destroyer; Emily Blunt for drama in A Quiet Place or musical in Mary Poppins Returns;any of the three women in The Favourite — Emma Stone, Rachel Weisz and Olivia Colemanwith the latter most likely to compete in the top race from that film; Julia Roberts in Ben Is Back; Rosamund Pike in A Private War;Melissa McCarthy in a rare but awfully good dramatic turn in Can You Ever Forgive Me?; and Viola Davis, possibly breaking out of the ensemble lineup in Widows. 

Also, though time cut us from describing the glories of the Netflix trio of Kathryn Hahn in Private Life, Maggie Gyllenhaal in The Kindergarten Teacher and Sandra Bullock in The Bird Box, you can only hope that the streamer with deep pockets gives these sensational performances the same kind of attention and money they are likely to put behind another candidate who has never before acted (and who Thompson is particularly high on), Yalitza Aparicio (I bungled the pronunciation in the video – sorry)  in Alfonso Cuarón’s Spanish-language memoir Roma, being campaigned in lead on the wishes of the director (who says he almost named the movie after her character, Cleo). But, being a non-pro, she likely would have a better shot at actually winning in support (a la past non-pro winners Harold Russell and Haing S. Ngor).

Strategy can be everything in as rich a field as this one is this year. Past nominees in two upcoming AFI Fest world premieres — Saoirse Ronan in Mary Queen of Scots, and Felicity Jones in On the Basis of Sex — also are discussed, and if we didn’t mention the superb Keira Knightley in Colette, we should have. To watch just click on the link above.


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