NEW YEAR'S WEEKEND: 'True Grit' Gives #1 'Little Fockers' A Run For The Money; Many Holiday Pics Grossing Big Overseas

SATURDAY PM/SUNDAY AM UPDATE, HAPPY NEW YEAR!  Overall, the movie industry domestic box ended the year at $10.3 billion, down from $10.6B in 2009. As I previously reported, Warner Bros will three-peat (a record) in winning the domestic market share for the 3rd year in a row with $1.885 billion, followed by Paramount, then Fox. “A lack of strong commercial product at Christmas was the reason that the 2010 box office could not close strong,” one top studio exec emails me. However, the final movie industry international box office cume will definitely be a record. The final figure isn’t available yet, but the international numbers look like a tie between Warner Bros and Fox with $2.290 billion, so that gives Warner Bros the crown for worldwide market share for 2010 with $4.804 billion. That’s the 2nd year in a row. As I’ve already reported, Disney’s international total for 2010 was its biggest ever with $2.3 billion. And domestic cume will end the year its second biggest year ever with $1.49 billion. Thank its three 3D titles, Alice In Wonderland and Toy Story 3 and Tangled. Here are official numbers from the studios for New Year’s weekend box office with daily and cume estimates. More bad news: overall grosses this weekend look to be $158M, which is -28% down from last year. Here are the Top 10:

1. Little Fockers (Universal) Week 2 [3,554 Theaters]
Friday $7.7M, Saturday $11.4M, Weekend $26.3M (-15%), Cume $103.1M

Universal hasn’t seen one of its pictures pass $100M, much less in just 12 days’ time, since its only blockbuster Despicable Me last summer. What a lousy year for the studio still feeling the after-effects of a 2009 change in management at Universal Pictures. Comcast is buying a fixer-upper.

2. True Grit (Paramount) Week 2 [3,083 Theaters]
Friday $8.1, Saturday $9.8M, Weekend $24.5M (-4%), Cume $86.7M

Wow, an adult movie starts New Year’s weekend as #1 Friday when that Little Fockers was supposed to be the big holiday pic with mass audience appeal. OK, so it didn’t stay there on Saturday. But not only is this the Coen Brothers’ highest grossing movie ever, but True Grit now easily will pass the domestic box office of their Best Picture Oscar winner No Country For Old Men which topped out at $74M. This will help the pic’s awards chances and make it a shoo-in for Best Picture 10 inclusion since Academy voters don’t like to look out of step with public taste.

3. Tron: Legacy 3D (Disney) Week 2 [3,365 Theaters]
Friday $5M, Saturday $7.8M, Weekend $18.3M (-4%), Cume $130.9M

Remember how I told you that Tron: Legacy 3D would be making almost as much overseas as domestically? In its 3rd week in release, its New Year’s international weekend was $23.7M (down only 26% from last weekend) in release in 40 territories representing 70% of that market. So with an international cume now of $110M, the pic’s global cume is a big $240.9M. But that’s still not enough yet to cover the cost of making it ($170M) or marketing it worldwide ($120M).

4. Yogi Bear 3D (Warner Bros) Week 2 [3,515 Theaters]
Friday $4M, Saturday $4.8M, Weekend $13M (+48%), Cume $66.1M

5. Chronicles Of Narnia 3D (Fox) Week 3 [2,948 Theaters]
Friday $3.4M, Saturday $4.1M, Weekend $10.5M, Cume $87.1M

Fox reports that Narnia 3 made $21.4M from 68 markets this weekend, bringing the international cume to $210M and the global cume to just shy of $300M. With only one new market opening (Argentina), the pic dropped less than 8% overall from Xmas weekend, with numerous markets up significantly from last weekend.

6. Tangled 3D (Disney) Week 5 [2,582 Theaters]
Friday $3.3M, Saturday $3.5M, Weekend $10M, Cume $168M

Currently in release in 23 territories representing approximately 45% of the international market, its overseas cume is now $146.5M for a new global cume of $314.5M.

7. The Fighter (Relativity/Paramount) Week 3 [2,534 Theaters]
Friday $2.6M, Saturday $4.4M, Weekend $10M, Cume $46.3M

8. Gulliver’s Travels 3D (Fox) Week 1 [3,089 Theaters]
Friday $2.9M, Saturday $3.7M, Weekend $9.1M, Cume $27.2M

This Fox pic has been hammered here in North America, bottoming out a year that the studio’s moguls would like to forget. But I noted last weekend that, since Jonathan Swift’s classic book has great cultural meaning internationally, Fox is hoping the title translates to broad awareness and does well overseas. To that point, Gulliver’s Travels earned $26M from only a handful of territories going into this New Year’s weekend, with 11 of the top 15 markets yet to release. Then the pic opened in 19 new and mostly smaller markets, bringing in $24M from now 33 markets. Which means the film has earned $47M in its first 10 days of release overseas, with only 5 of the top 15 markets releasing. The UK, home to the book, generated a sizable $10.9M since Boxing Day for the #1 market share position and should have a very strong bank holiday Monday before most of the kids return to school. With no other PG family friendly films opening until January 28th (Disney’s Tangled), Gulliver’s Travels should have a great run through January in the UK. Six new territories open next week, including Russia, and now insiders are putting on their rose-colored glasses and predicting the movie could get to $175M abroard even though comedy doesn’t travel too well too often. Then again, everybody can understand those Star Wars and Transformers gags.

9. Black Swan (Fox Searchlight) Week 5 [1,553 Theaters]
Friday $1.9M, Saturday $3.8M, Weekend $8.4M, Cume $47.3M

10. The King’s Speech (Weinstein Co) Week 3 [700 Theaters]
Friday $2.5M, Saturday $2.9M, Weekend $7.6M, Cume $22.8M

Specialty Box Office

Blue Valentine (The Weinstein Co) NEW [4 Theaters]
Weekend $180K, Cume $277K

Another Year (Sony Pictures Classics) NEW [6 Theaters]
Weekend $120K, Cume $173K

Country Strong (Sony) Week 2 [2 Theaters]
Weekend $43K, Cume $121K

The Illusionist (Sony Pictures Classics) Week 2 [3 Theaters]
Weekend $50K, Cume $127K

Somewhere (Foxus Features) Week 2 [8 Theaters]
Weekend $142K, Cume $437K

Rabbit Hole (Lionsgate) Week 3 [34 Theaters]
Weekend $136K, Cume $429K

Casino Jack (IDP/ATO) Week 3 [8 Theaters]
Weekend $81K, Cume $234K

I Love You, Phillip Morris (Roadside) Week 5 [68 Theaters]
Weekend $200K, Cume $1.1M

Made In Dagenham  (Sony Pictures Classics) Week 7 [54 Theaters]
Weekend $98K, Cume $495K

127 Hours (Fox Searchlight) Week 9 [103 Theaters]
Weekend $274K, Cume $10.4M

My Dog Tulip (New Yorker) Week 18 [2 Theaters]
Weekend $2K, Cume $148K

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