‘Captain America’ To Step On ‘Angry Birds’, ‘Neighbors 2’ & ‘Nice Guys’ – Box Office Preview

Courtesy Of Disney

From here on in, every weekend during the summer is going to be crowded, with an average of three movies opening per weekend. This Friday, there’s Sony/Rovio Entertainment’s Angry BirdsUniversal’s Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising and Warner Bros.’ 1970s Shane Black movie The Nice GuysHowever, Disney/Marvel’s Captain America: Civil War is going to toss all of ’em away from No. 1.

Industry estimates figure that Civil War could reap anywhere from -30% to -40% in its third frame decline giving it a FSS in the high $30M to low $40M range, though higher than Angry Birds and Neighbors 2 which are looking to make $35M-$40M apiece.

By Friday, ComScore reports that 77% of all colleges will be on summer break, up from 53% last Friday. That figure moves to 82% by Monday. So the majors will have access to that twenty-something crowd. Kids in grades K-12 are still in session at 96%.

Through 11 days, Civil War counts $300.7M at the domestic B.O. and is pacing 6% behind Avengers: Age of Ultron at the same point in time.

the nice guys 2Warner Bros.’ The Nice Guys, could experience a similar Cannes Film Festival halo effect that Money Monster experienced last weekend after its premiere on the Grand Theatre Lumiere. The Jodie Foster film was projected to open around $10M but came in higher with a $14.78M opening, and that was off 55% Rotten reviews. Nice Guys currently has a 96% Rotten Tomatoes score from a handful of reviews, however, should the Ryan Gosling-Russell Crowe action comedy combo maintain that level, it could best its $10M opening weekend estimate. Warner Bros. acquired domestic rights on Nice Guys, so its exposure is quite limited. Bloom has foreign. Pic, which is a throwback to action comedies like Lethal Weapon, will play in an estimated 2,900 theaters with previews starting Thursday at 7 PM.

ANGRY BIRDSAngry Birds, based on the Rovio mobile game, has the benefit of being the only animated feature on the calendar until Disney/Pixar’s Finding Dory arrives on June 17. Pic was fully financed by Rovio for a reported $73M and features the voices of Jason Sudeikis, Josh Gad, Danny McBride, Bill Hader, and Maya Rudolph to name a few. Sony has a 7% distribution fee on Angry Birds and B.O. analysts expect this movie to play young, with a shot at mid-to-upper teens. Angry Birds will be in play in 3,900-plus venues with previews starting Thursday at 7 PM.  Pic will also be shown in 3D. Angry Birds opened overseas last weekend and to date has a nest egg of $43M.

Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising (2016)Neighbors 2 also got a head start on its theatrical run on May 5 in 34 offshore markets with a foreign B.O. of $21.4 million to date. The Nicholas Stoller-directed sequel also opens this weekend in Argentina, Brazil, Egypt, Greece, Lebanon, Panama, Romania, Serbia & Montenegro, Ukraine and Venezuela. Stateside, pic will be booked at 3,382 locations. The first Seth Rogen-Rose Byrne-Zac Efron-David Franco movie turned in an opening of $49M and a 3x domestic multiple of $150.1M. Rogen and his producing buddies James Weaver and Evan Goldberg at Point Grey Pictures kept it cheap on Neighbors with an estimated $18M production cost which reaped a global B.O. of $270.7M. Neighbors 2 is slightly more expensive at $35M, but still a bargain basement cost by summer tentpole standards. In the sequel, Rogen and Byrne’s The Radners must now contend with a raunchy sorority as their neighbors, and enlist the help from their former enemy Teddy (Efron) to wage battle with their new annoyance.

Anita Busch contributed to this article

 

This article was printed from https://deadline.com/2016/05/angry-birds-neighbors-2-nice-guys-captain-america-civil-war-box-office-preview-1201758521/