SUNDAY UPDATE: Disney/Marvel’s Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania has landed with an estimated $225.3M global opening through Sunday. The split on the Peyton Reed-directed threequel is $104M domestic (3-day) and $121.3M from the international box office.
Internationally, Quantumania is estimated to be 13% ahead of Ant-Man and 27% below Ant-Man and The Wasp on a like-for-like basis. Removing China from the comparison, the opening weekend for Quantumania is 52% ahead of Ant-Man and 5% ahead of Ant-Man and The Wasp.
The four-day domestic start of $118M is the third best President’s Day opening weekend ever. But, as we noted yesterday (see below), the global debut is lower than pre-weekend offshore projections. That’s down to softness in Asia Pacific and also the deeper sci-fi elements that don’t tend to play there, notably in South Korea and China.
The latter came in with $19.2M, sharply off the low end of the expected range of $35M-$55M. Maoyan gave AM3 a decent score, on par with the previous Ant-Man movies, but the Douban critical note was low and the early Rotten Tomatoes score dampened enthusiasm. There’s also a sense that there may be some fatigue after the Chinese New Year movies while we know that sci-fi of the Star Wars ilk is a hard sell in the market. It’s too early to tell what this may mean for Marvel movies in China — where they had been unofficially banned since 2019, meaning a long gap that could prove challenging. There has been a certain lack of appetite for Hollywood movies in general, but let’s not start clutching our pearls just yet.
Europe played strongly with the UK particularly remarkable at $10.9M
The Top 10 opening markets are China ($19.2M), the UK ($10.9M), Mexico ($8.7M), Korea ($7.2M), Australia ($5.3M), Indonesia ($5.1M), Germany ($4.5M), France ($4.5M), Brazil ($3.9M) and India ($3.9M).
In IMAX, Quantumania grossed $24M globally, 28% higher than the combined worldwide openings of Ant-Man and Ant-Man and The Wasp and is the fourth-best IMAX global start for February. International markets contributed $11.8M through Monday which includes China where the Marvel film grossed $4M in IMAX, repping 21% of the box office.
Meanwhile, Avatar: The Way of Water ($2,243.2M) just edged Titanic ($2,242.8M) this weekend to become the third highest-grossing movie ever worldwide. Internationally, Way of Water is at $1.586B coming out of the 10th weekend and is the third biggest overseas release ever, behind Avatar and Avengers: Endgame.
It added $10.7M offshore this frame for a 45% drop and became the highest-grossing movie ever in Germany. Top 5 markets to date are: China ($243.8M), France ($148M), Germany ($138M), Korea ($107.5M) and the UK ($91.6M).
In total, the Walt Disney Studios has already earned $1.282B in 2023. Of that $383M is from domestic and $899M from overseas.
Universal/DreamWorks Animation’s Puss in Boots: The Last Wish licked up another $9.9M in 80 overseas markets for a $255.6M offshore cume and $421.6M global. Internationally, it is the No. 10 biggest studio release of 2022/23 and No. 9 worldwide of 2022.
The UK continued strong play during school holidays with uplift in the midweeks bringing the gross through Sunday to $20.7M. Mexico has now reached $24.8M and is the biggest DWA release of all time there.
MISC UPDATED CUMES/NOTABLE
Magic Mike’s Last Dance (WB): $4.6M intl weekend (41 markets); $19.6M intl cume/$37.7M global
A Man Called Otto (SNY): $2.4M intl weekend (45 markets); $38.4M intl cume/$99.3M global
Knock at the Cabin (UNI): $1.6M intl weekend (66 markets); $16.9M intl cume/$47.3M global
Die Drei ??? – Erbe Des Drachen (SNY): $1.2M intl weekend (4 markets); $9.7M intl cume
M3GAN (UNI): $738K intl weekend (77 markets); $76.6M intl cume/$170.1M global
PREVIOUS, SATURDAY UPDATE: Disney/Marvel’s Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania flew into another eight overseas markets on Friday, taking the international box office cume through yesterday to $52.6M. Globally, it’s just kissing $100M at $98.6M. The full global weekend is eyed at about $225M+, lower than where we saw it coming into the launch, particularly offshore. That’s in part down to the sci-fi elements which are not playing everywhere as we noted might be an issue in our preview. Europe is playing at the top end of the range, and Latin America is on track, though there is softness in Asia Pacific outside of Australia.
In total, the threequel is now buzzing around in 51 offshore markets and, on a like-for-like basis, is so far 30% ahead of the original Ant-Man (+63% when excluding China) and 24% below Ant-Man and The Wasp (4% above excluding China). Both of the earlier installments played during summer.
The numbers above do not include today in China where the Peyton Reed-directed pic again led play; through Saturday it has grossed about $14M. This now portends a full weekend in the low $20Ms there. Similarly, Korea’s Saturday takings are not represented in the figures above. There, AM&TWQ came in at an estimated $2.15M for a local running cume of $5.3M through Saturday.
Notably in Friday openers in Europe, Spain’s launch day was 26% above the last film and 204% over the original. The UK’s Friday came in 201% ahead of Ant-Man and The Wasp and 183% ahead of Ant-Man.
In Asia Pacific, China’s start on Friday was 74% below Ant-Man and The Wasp and 48% below Ant-Man while Japan saw 18% uptick versus Ant-Man and The Wasp and 56% compared to Ant-Man. India came in 53% over Ant-Man and The Wasp and a humongous 650% ahead of Ant-Man.
Through Friday, the Top 10 markets are China ($6.2M), the UK ($4.5M), Mexico ($3.8M), Korea ($3.2M), France ($2.6M), Australia ($2.4M), Indonesia ($2.2M), Germany ($2.2M), Brazil ($1.9M) and Italy ($1.5M).
We’ll have a full update on Sunday.
PREVIOUS, FRIDAY: Disney/Marvel’s Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania buzzed into 43 overseas markets across Wednesday and Thursday, grossing an estimated $23.8M through yesterday. With domestic’s strong $17.5M previews, that lifts the global cume to a running $41.3M.
The first two days at the international box office put the threequel 68% ahead of the original Ant-Man and 1% above 2018’s Ant-Man and The Wasp on a like-for-like basis, both of those had the benefit of summer school holiday playtime.
The estimated overseas gross of $23.8M through Thursday does not include any China numbers. The movie started in midnights there on Thursday, and through Friday is at about $6.3M with an opening day at No. 1. The Peyton Reed-directed pic has an 8.8 on Maoyan, on par with the previous films.
Also not included in the two-day offshore total above, Korea on Friday added $980K in first position, for a three-day cume of $3.16M.
Strictly speaking through Thursday, the Top 5 markets on the Paul Rudd-starrer are Mexico ($2.4M), Korea ($2.2M), France ($1.8M), Indonesia ($1.5M) and Australia ($1.5M).
Latin America and Europe are performing well. There is some softness in Asia Pacific. In Latin America, Quantumania opened No. 1 in all markets on Thursday with a 75% share across the region. Mexico’s launch day came in 10% below Ant-Man and The Wasp while Brazil ($1.3M) was 1% above that movie.
In Europe, the critters were No. 1 everywhere save Denmark. France‘s opening on Wednesday came in 16% ahead of Ant-Man and the Wasp and 128% ahead of Ant-Man. Germany was 47% ahead of Ant-Man and the Wasp and 126% ahead of Ant-Man. Italy likewise was above the previous pics.
Quantumania landed 13% below Ant-Man and the Wasp and 6% ahead of Ant-Man in its Thursday Australia bow while Korea’s opening Wednesday was 47% under Ant-Man and the Wasp, and 26% over Ant-Man.
Along with China, today adds Spain, Japan, the UK and India as well as Poland, South Africa and Vietnam.
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