Disney/Lucasfilm’s Rogue One: A Star Wars Story is currently open in 47 territories and has a gross through Thursday of $33M. That covers about 60% of the offshore marketplace where the movie is a dominant No. 1 in all plays. Key results thus far include the UK’s $5M (Thursday opening); Australia’s $3.6M (Thursday opening); Germany’s $3.1M (Thursday bow); and France’s $3.1M after blasting off on Wednesday, where, in terms of admissions, it was the No. 8 start of 2016. Conversely, of the markets released, this Star Wars spinoff posted the highest opening day of 2016 in Australia, Germany, Austria, Belgium, Scandinavia and Switzerland. IMAX international has done $2.5M to date from 262 screens.
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As we have previously reported, comping Rogue One as apples-to-apples with last year’s hyperdrive revival of the franchise, Star Wars: The Force Awakens, is not entirely appropriate given this film’s new characters and the decade of pent-up demand for TFA‘s Han, Leia, Chewie and more.
However, for data’s sake, TFA grossed $72.7M in two days overseas. That included Korea which is not in the current suite of markets on Rogue One. Other comps being considered, given the spinoff nature of the stories, include The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them and, in the SW canon, Revenge Of The Sith.
An Unexpected Journey ($718M intl cume) opened to $138M abroad ($222.6M global) in a similar December frame in 2012 (though in a different bucket of markets). Beasts, as we recently saw, blasted past projections to cast a $145.5M opening spell at offshore turnstiles in 63 markets. It’s currently legged out to more than $680M worldwide. As for Sith, it’s the most recent of the previous Star Wars prequels and bowed to $145M-plus in the first weekend in 2005, $303.9M worldwide, and is considered by many as the best of the prequels. Japan, which went later than the rest of the world, was the lead market there.
Getting back to the Stormtrooper in the room, Force Awakens opened to $281M overseas and went on to a stunning $1.13B in offshore markets. Rogue One has not been expected to reach those heights. However, it is very likely less front-loaded than SWVII. The next few frames will bear that out.
I’ll add a personal-experience note here: I saw the movie at the first public screening in Aix-en-Provence (OK, not a metropolis as far as France goes) on Wednesday morning. The 10:30 AM showing was nearly full and ended with big applause (rare). In France, this is the beginning of the mass holiday exodus and that will have impacted local numbers.
We’ll of course keep a keen eye on the next days.
Most of the rest of Rogue One‘s international play opens today led by Japan and Spain. Korea (December 28) and China (January 6) are still to come.
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