With only a few days left until polls close on Tuesday at 5 PM PT for this year’s Oscar voting, Gold Derby’s Tom O’Neil and I take another whack at trying to make sense of the race now that we have heard from all the major guild and voting groups — particularly last Sunday’s BAFTA results. The Pete Hammond badgeBAFTA outcome favored The Revenant with five key wins overall including Best Picture and Director, following earlier tea leaf-dispensing organizations like the DGA and the Golden Globes which also got behind the film. We go at it in assessing the importance of the BAFTA verdict from a group that supposedly has about 500 of the same members in common with the Academy of Motion Picture Arts andgold-derby Sciences (but as I point out to Tom, how many of them really voted in BAFTA this year could be a factor in determining how predictive they might be).

We also talk about how the impact of preferential voting for Best Picture at the Oscars could be a game-changer over groups like BAFTA and DGA, which have a straight up-and-down ballot. And once again, now that the New York Times has joined in on the speculation, I throw out my theories on how a little film like Room could come in and upset the whole thing if a true split among the front-runners occurs.

Watch our latest Oscar Prediction Smackdown above. Enjoy!