Lionsgate is reporting a $61M overseas cume through Friday on The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 in 87 offshore markets. While we don’t yet have a full territory-by-territory breakdown, the final installment in the YA franchise is currently playing No. 1 in 82. The projected three-day worldwide cume is $251M. Of that, Lionsgate is eyeing a $149M offshore haul — better than Catching Fire‘s $146M, but down from Mockingjay – Part 1‘s $154.3M opening last year. The projected figure is also below the low end of industry projections which were $165M-$185M going into the weekend.

Reviews have been strong and the movie got an A- CinemaScore on Friday night. But some offshore factors at work here include a combined 15% devaluation in foreign currencies against the dollar since last year and of course the recent terror attacks in Paris. MJ1‘s total in the same number of days last year was $67.5M in 85 markets.

In bright spots, Germany got off to a great start — it’s up 23% on MJ1 through Friday with $6.5M and is looking like the 5th best opener of the year there. The UK is also reportedly lining up for Katniss & Co after $3M in previews earlier this week. MJ2 has also landed well in Mexico and Brazil.

But results for MJ2 will be affected elsewhere in Western Europe. France is still reeling from the events of November 13 when 129 people were killed in a wave of violence in the capital. When MJ2 opened on Wednesday, it was down 20% from MJ1 with movie theaters in general not filling seats. Parisian movie houses had been shut altogether last Saturday amid fears of continued violence, and began to slowly re-open Sunday and Monday. All films are expected to be down this session while some folks who missed Spectre last weekend may be prioritizing that film — it opened to the biggest weekend of the year last frame despite the Saturday Paris closures.

Elsewhere, although MJ2 saw a 3% boost in its opening in Belgium earlier this week, the scores are likely to be dinged there with Brussels placed on high alert today. Authorities believe the capital is vulnerable in the wake of the Paris attacks and closed the metro, cancelled soccer games and warned locals to avoid public places. That’s bound to have an impact on movie-going.

Meanwhile, local China box office reporting has MJ2 at $5M through Friday. MJ1 opened to $10M on its first day earlier this year, but this is not an apples-to-apples comp since that film bowed on a holiday Sunday.

We’ll have full weekend figures tomorrow.